🇹🇰 Tokelau Population 2026
As of 2026, the population of Tokelau is 2,691, ranking #235 in the world (0.00% of the global population), based on UN World Population Prospects 2024. The population is growing at 2.60% per year.
Live estimate
2,693
Growth rate
2.60%
Density
224
people / km² (581 / mi²)
Median age
27.6
Fertility rate
2.54
births per woman
Life expectancy
77.4
years
Tokelau population 1950–2100
By 2050, the population of Tokelau is projected to reach 3,821, and 4,370 by 2100. The population is expected to peak in 2081 at 4,422, then decline.
Tokelau population by year
| Year | Population | Growth | Density /km² | Median age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2,691 | 2.60% | 224.3 | 27.6 |
| 2025 | 2,608 | 3.68% | 217.3 | 27.3 |
| 2024 | 2,506 | 4.27% | 208.9 | 26.9 |
| 2023 | 2,398 | 4.63% | 199.8 | 26.7 |
| 2022 | 2,290 | 4.54% | 190.8 | 26.6 |
| 2021 | 2,205 | 2.99% | 183.8 | 26.4 |
| 2020 | 2,128 | 4.14% | 177.3 | 26.1 |
| 2019 | 2,014 | 6.95% | 167.8 | 25.8 |
| 2018 | 1,878 | 7.09% | 156.5 | 25.7 |
| 2017 | 1,742 | 7.99% | 145.1 | 25.6 |
| 2016 | 1,677 | -0.60% | 139.8 | 25.5 |
| 2015 | 1,698 | -1.89% | 141.5 | 25.3 |
| 2014 | 1,728 | -1.62% | 144.0 | 25.0 |
| 2013 | 1,726 | 1.91% | 143.8 | 24.8 |
| 2012 | 1,659 | 6.03% | 138.3 | 24.8 |
| 2011 | 1,598 | 1.31% | 133.2 | 24.9 |
| 2010 | 1,584 | 0.44% | 132.0 | 25.1 |
| 2009 | 1,574 | 0.89% | 131.2 | 25.5 |
| 2008 | 1,562 | 0.58% | 130.2 | 25.5 |
| 2007 | 1,552 | 0.77% | 129.3 | 25.3 |
| 2006 | 1,569 | -2.93% | 130.8 | 24.7 |
| 2005 | 1,631 | -4.72% | 135.9 | 23.8 |
| 2004 | 1,705 | -4.22% | 142.1 | 23.0 |
| 2003 | 1,774 | -3.72% | 147.8 | 22.2 |
| 2002 | 1,839 | -3.53% | 153.3 | 21.4 |
| 2001 | 1,864 | 0.86% | 155.3 | 21.0 |
| 2000 | 1,844 | 1.25% | 153.7 | 20.9 |
| 1999 | 1,821 | 1.26% | 151.8 | 20.9 |
| 1998 | 1,801 | 1.00% | 150.1 | 20.9 |
| 1997 | 1,782 | 1.18% | 148.5 | 20.8 |
| 1996 | 1,771 | 0.00% | 147.6 | 20.6 |
| 1995 | 1,771 | 0.00% | 147.6 | 20.5 |
| 1994 | 1,772 | -0.06% | 147.6 | 20.3 |
| 1993 | 1,775 | -0.34% | 147.9 | 20.1 |
| 1992 | 1,778 | 0.00% | 148.2 | 19.9 |
| 1991 | 1,774 | 0.51% | 147.8 | 19.7 |
| 1990 | 1,766 | 0.28% | 147.2 | 19.6 |
| 1989 | 1,763 | 0.11% | 146.9 | 19.4 |
| 1988 | 1,766 | -0.45% | 147.2 | 19.0 |
| 1987 | 1,778 | -0.90% | 148.2 | 18.6 |
| 1986 | 1,782 | 0.45% | 148.5 | 18.3 |
| 1985 | 1,761 | 1.93% | 146.8 | 18.1 |
| 1984 | 1,727 | 1.97% | 143.9 | 18.2 |
| 1983 | 1,689 | 2.49% | 140.8 | 18.2 |
| 1982 | 1,666 | 0.24% | 138.8 | 17.9 |
| 1981 | 1,664 | 0.06% | 138.6 | 17.5 |
| 1980 | 1,664 | -0.12% | 138.7 | 17.1 |
| 1979 | 1,666 | -0.12% | 138.8 | 16.8 |
| 1978 | 1,663 | 0.54% | 138.5 | 16.4 |
| 1977 | 1,653 | 0.67% | 137.7 | 15.8 |
| 1976 | 1,643 | 0.55% | 136.9 | 15.4 |
| 1975 | 1,639 | -0.06% | 136.5 | 15.1 |
| 1974 | 1,642 | -0.30% | 136.8 | 15.0 |
| 1973 | 1,643 | 0.18% | 136.9 | 14.7 |
| 1972 | 1,641 | 0.06% | 136.7 | 14.4 |
| 1971 | 1,666 | -3.06% | 138.8 | 14.3 |
| 1970 | 1,720 | -3.43% | 143.4 | 14.5 |
| 1969 | 1,776 | -2.98% | 148.0 | 14.6 |
| 1968 | 1,827 | -2.63% | 152.3 | 14.5 |
| 1967 | 1,873 | -2.40% | 156.1 | 14.3 |
| 1966 | 1,898 | -0.21% | 158.2 | 14.4 |
| 1965 | 1,899 | 0.16% | 158.2 | 14.9 |
| 1964 | 1,893 | 0.48% | 157.7 | 15.4 |
| 1963 | 1,882 | 0.64% | 156.8 | 15.8 |
| 1962 | 1,869 | 0.69% | 155.8 | 16.2 |
| 1961 | 1,838 | 2.67% | 153.2 | 16.3 |
| 1960 | 1,784 | 3.36% | 148.7 | 16.4 |
| 1959 | 1,730 | 2.83% | 144.1 | 16.6 |
| 1958 | 1,682 | 2.79% | 140.1 | 16.8 |
| 1957 | 1,637 | 2.63% | 136.4 | 17.1 |
| 1956 | 1,604 | 1.37% | 133.7 | 17.5 |
| 1955 | 1,593 | 0.00% | 132.8 | 17.8 |
| 1954 | 1,586 | 0.88% | 132.2 | 18.1 |
| 1953 | 1,576 | 0.38% | 131.3 | 18.6 |
| 1952 | 1,563 | 1.22% | 130.3 | 19.1 |
| 1951 | 1,562 | -1.02% | 130.2 | 19.1 |
| 1950 | 1,592 | -2.76% | 132.7 | 18.6 |
| Year | Population | Growth | Density /km² | Median age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2,765 | 2.86% | 230.5 | 27.8 |
| 2028 | 2,844 | 2.71% | 237.0 | 28.2 |
| 2029 | 2,918 | 2.50% | 243.2 | 28.5 |
| 2030 | 2,985 | 2.01% | 248.8 | 28.8 |
| 2031 | 3,053 | 2.49% | 254.4 | 29.1 |
| 2032 | 3,122 | 1.95% | 260.1 | 29.5 |
| 2033 | 3,178 | 1.60% | 264.8 | 29.8 |
| 2034 | 3,228 | 1.58% | 269.0 | 30.1 |
| 2035 | 3,280 | 1.55% | 273.3 | 30.4 |
| 2036 | 3,333 | 1.71% | 277.8 | 30.7 |
| 2037 | 3,387 | 1.48% | 282.3 | 30.9 |
| 2038 | 3,433 | 1.19% | 286.0 | 31.2 |
| 2039 | 3,474 | 1.18% | 289.5 | 31.6 |
| 2040 | 3,512 | 1.02% | 292.7 | 32.0 |
| 2041 | 3,547 | 0.96% | 295.6 | 32.3 |
| 2042 | 3,584 | 1.14% | 298.7 | 32.6 |
| 2043 | 3,620 | 0.83% | 301.7 | 33.0 |
| 2044 | 3,655 | 1.07% | 304.5 | 33.3 |
| 2045 | 3,689 | 0.84% | 307.5 | 33.7 |
| 2046 | 3,721 | 0.86% | 310.1 | 33.9 |
| 2047 | 3,745 | 0.43% | 312.1 | 34.2 |
| 2048 | 3,769 | 0.85% | 314.1 | 34.4 |
| 2049 | 3,797 | 0.66% | 316.5 | 34.6 |
| 2050 | 3,821 | 0.60% | 318.5 | 34.8 |
| 2051 | 3,841 | 0.44% | 320.1 | 35.0 |
| 2052 | 3,868 | 0.91% | 322.3 | 35.0 |
| 2053 | 3,898 | 0.69% | 324.9 | 35.2 |
| 2054 | 3,923 | 0.56% | 326.9 | 35.3 |
| 2055 | 3,948 | 0.71% | 329.0 | 35.5 |
| 2056 | 3,974 | 0.58% | 331.1 | 35.6 |
| 2057 | 3,994 | 0.43% | 332.8 | 35.7 |
| 2058 | 4,020 | 0.87% | 335.0 | 35.8 |
| 2059 | 4,052 | 0.72% | 337.6 | 36.0 |
| 2060 | 4,077 | 0.52% | 339.7 | 36.3 |
| 2061 | 4,096 | 0.41% | 341.3 | 36.5 |
| 2062 | 4,117 | 0.63% | 343.1 | 36.8 |
| 2063 | 4,140 | 0.48% | 345.0 | 37.1 |
| 2064 | 4,161 | 0.53% | 346.8 | 37.4 |
| 2065 | 4,182 | 0.50% | 348.5 | 37.7 |
| 2066 | 4,210 | 0.81% | 350.8 | 38.0 |
| 2067 | 4,235 | 0.38% | 352.9 | 38.2 |
| 2068 | 4,256 | 0.61% | 354.7 | 38.5 |
| 2069 | 4,280 | 0.54% | 356.7 | 38.8 |
| 2070 | 4,303 | 0.49% | 358.5 | 39.1 |
| 2071 | 4,324 | 0.49% | 360.3 | 39.3 |
| 2072 | 4,343 | 0.44% | 362.0 | 39.6 |
| 2073 | 4,362 | 0.41% | 363.5 | 39.9 |
| 2074 | 4,375 | 0.18% | 364.6 | 40.2 |
| 2075 | 4,383 | 0.16% | 365.2 | 40.5 |
| 2076 | 4,391 | 0.25% | 366.0 | 40.8 |
| 2077 | 4,399 | 0.07% | 366.5 | 41.1 |
| 2078 | 4,403 | 0.14% | 366.9 | 41.3 |
| 2079 | 4,410 | 0.18% | 367.5 | 41.6 |
| 2080 | 4,418 | 0.16% | 368.1 | 41.9 |
| 2081 | 4,422 | 0.02% | 368.5 | 42.1 |
| 2082 | 4,419 | -0.14% | 368.3 | 42.4 |
| 2083 | 4,415 | -0.07% | 367.9 | 42.5 |
| 2084 | 4,416 | 0.16% | 368.0 | 42.7 |
| 2085 | 4,420 | 0.00% | 368.3 | 42.9 |
| 2086 | 4,417 | -0.14% | 368.1 | 43.1 |
| 2087 | 4,414 | 0.00% | 367.8 | 43.2 |
| 2088 | 4,416 | 0.09% | 368.0 | 43.4 |
| 2089 | 4,419 | 0.04% | 368.3 | 43.5 |
| 2090 | 4,418 | -0.11% | 368.1 | 43.6 |
| 2091 | 4,412 | -0.14% | 367.7 | 43.6 |
| 2092 | 4,409 | 0.00% | 367.4 | 43.7 |
| 2093 | 4,406 | -0.14% | 367.2 | 43.9 |
| 2094 | 4,398 | -0.25% | 366.5 | 43.9 |
| 2095 | 4,393 | 0.05% | 366.1 | 44.1 |
| 2096 | 4,393 | -0.05% | 366.1 | 44.2 |
| 2097 | 4,387 | -0.23% | 365.6 | 44.3 |
| 2098 | 4,383 | 0.05% | 365.3 | 44.4 |
| 2099 | 4,378 | -0.25% | 364.9 | 44.5 |
| 2100 | 4,370 | -0.14% | 364.2 | 44.6 |
FAQ
What is the population of Tokelau in 2026?
The population of Tokelau is 2,691 in 2026, according to UN World Population Prospects 2024 (medium variant).
Is the population of Tokelau growing or shrinking?
The population of Tokelau is growing at 2.60% per year, and is projected to peak in 2081 at 4,422.
Sources
- Country data: United Nations World Population Prospects 2024, medium variant (CC BY 3.0 IGO). Retrieved 2026-07-07.
- City and state data: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0). Retrieved 2026-07-07.
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